Thursday, June 6, 2013

Raymond Raymond’s Daily Sporting Musings 6/6/13


[Caption Credit: @sportspickle]

{Current Mood: Miffed at the lady at Barney's Service Center in Lakewood, NJ who made me feel like a d00fus when I couldn't accurately describe to her what was wrong with my car. Hoping her day is full of minor inconveniences}

Good Evening,

So the RFW guys have informed me that somewhere down the road, they will be launching a page that has the recorded RFW statistics. 

I think this news is fantastic but it won't stop me from continuing to build my own database to help me with my lineup decisions for the time being. I still plan on putting out more fantasy wrestling content. This includes a crazy little project that I hope to complete before the next PPV as kind of a score prediction piece based around one of the matches we’ll be seeing on that night. Will keep you all posted as to whether I manage to complete this mission.

So I guess winning coach of the year wasn’t good enough for the Nuggets because George Karl is now on the market for teams that need a very established head coach that can help them turn their fortunes around. I won’t bore you with predictions and hoopla because, until he signs on with another team, you’ll be reading a ton of pieces telling you where he best fits.

Hell, the news just broke this morning and there have probably already been at least 18 stories written about why he fits best with “Insert Team Here” and where his most likely landing spots are.

If you haven’t skipped over this section yet because it’s talking about basketball, then you should know which teams are realistic contenders. If/once I care enough to have a prediction, I’ll share it.

Revisiting the issue of Percy Harvin’s fantasy football value this season, I feel it’s worth mentioning another great point that @FantasyDouche brought up on the Twitter yesterday. The tweet read: "And the last point is that if Harvin's value does come through, but comes through based on a ton of SEA passing, there are cheaper SEA WRs" – FD”

It’s definitely a point worth mentioning if you were planning on making Percival one of the first ten wide receivers selected in your fantasy draft(s) this season. Sidney Rice led all Seattle pass catchers with 82 targets this past season while the Golden Tate finished second on the team with 67 targets.

Rotoviz put out a nice article about a month ago in which we found out that Seattle only lost 300 snaps from receivers that left the team after this past season. Only eight teams finished with fewer lost snaps. To put this in perspective a tad, the league leader in this category is the Patriots. They lost 2,612 snaps from receivers that are no longer with the team.

Not to say Harvin can’t haul in 100-plus passes this season because he certainly can. You have to imagine that he’s going to command AT LEAST 300 snaps this year. This brings up the question of which Seattle receiver stands to lose the most targets because of Harvin’s arrival. I can’t imagine it being fellow former Viking Sidney Rice.

My personal feeling is that Harvin will still be drafted way higher than he should be, all things considered. I personally would rather wait to draft Sidney Rice around the 11th round region, depending on how my team is shaping up. Unless you think the Golden Tate or Doug Baldwin, and not Sidney Rice, is going to command a WR2-like number of snaps.

For anyone who feels like taking a flier on former perennial top five fantasy quarterback Philip Rivers and his 12th round ADP, consider that he had Norv Turner as his head coach for the majority of his career. And under Norval’s guidance, Rivers set career highs in passing yards, passing TDs, TD percentage, yards per attempt, QB rating, and completion percentage from 2008 to 2010.

Not to say that Mike McCoy and Ken Whisenhunt can’t help Rivers get both his real and fake football career back on track, but there’s way too much risk and not enough upside for me to consider taking him over a bunch of other later round value QBs I’m currently looking at. Even as a backup. But that’s just me and I could wind up changing my mind by draft time. Not likely, but still a possibility.

A quick note on Jamaal Charles’ fake football prospects for 2013. In no way will I be the first or last person to speak of how Andy Reid will impact JC’s fantasy numbers, but this caught my eye.

Rotoviz tells me that Charles only received three carries inside the opponent’s five yard line in 16 games played last season. LeSean McCoy only played in 12 games last season and had 14 attempts inside the opponent’s five yard line.

Andy Reid has shown in the past that he will commit to his feature back in goal-to-go situations. And while we still aren’t 100% sure how Kansas City will run their offense, or whether their offense will even be good enough to give Charles a CHANCE at that many carries inside the five yard line in 2013, it’s still worth mentioning and will ensure that JC stays near the top of my 2013 RB rankings.

Aight. I’m out like Vick Ballard’s fantasy football value if the Colts wind up signing Ahmad Bradshaw. Time for some DDP Yoga and some more database building.

#KThanksBye


-Ray Ray Marz-

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