Wednesday, June 5, 2013

Raymond Raymond's Daily Musings 6/5/13



{Current Mood: Saucy}

So I've been thinking,

I need to start putting more things on this site. My ambitious goal for a while has been to post at least one quick blurb a day about whatever it is that's on my mind in the world of sportstuffs. 

Some days, this is easier to do than others. 

Most days, my severe case of writer/thinker's block kicks in. It's the reason I haven't been able to post every day and the reason I haven't been able to find a sports writing niche, fantasy or otherwise. 

As the #1 ranked fantasy wrestling player IN THE WORLD, which I will continue to brag about at least until I'm dethroned, I can confidently say that this site will be updated far more frequently than it has been recently. 

If you enjoyed my last fantasy wrestling article/intro piece/strategy session, I suggest you bookmark Pond Scum Sports because there's plenty more in the works. 

I'm currently in the midst of one of my most grand undertakings as it relates to fantasy sports writing. I'm compiling an unofficial fantasy wrestling database. 

It's going to take a little while to complete being that I have to go back and log six weeks worth of data manually, but I'll continue to p00p out content while I work on this. This includes what will be the first ever Fantasy Wrestling Sleepers and Busts article. Unfortunately, you're going to have to wait until Monday (June 10th) for that one. So sit tight kiddies. 

Speaking of finding fantasy sports writing niches, I think I finally found one for fantasy football. Seriously, I'm 62% sure that there's at LEAST a 45% chance that I roll with this idea. 

In any case, I'm going to test this idea when I enter into a contest that thefakefootball.com is running. The winner gets, among other things, "a weekly platform on thefakefootball.com to spout off fake football knowledge."

Sounds like a good way to get PSS noticed a tad bit more. 

The contest goes for three rounds with each round requiring you to write about a different topic. The first topic, with a due date of June 14th to get the article done, is late round running backs to target in your 2013 fantasy football draft. I'll keep everyone posted as to how I wind up doing in this contest. 

To wrap up, I'm just going to talk briefly about a few guys who I added notes to earlier today in my fantasy football database that I've been compiling. 

Yes, I'm also compiling a fake football database. It's not as time consuming as it seems.

The database will lead way to tiered rankings that I will be debuting when I start and/or finish them. Starting is going to be the hardest part because I've never compiled my own rankings. I've always used and minimally tweaked other people's rankings. 

The more I read and research, the more I'm getting behind the idea of tiered rankings for every position. For me, the hard part isn't going to be deciding who belongs in what tier. The hard part is going to be deciding how to rank people WITHIN their tiers. 

Granted, this isn't a humongous issue because the purpose of tiering your rankings is to group guys together who you feel will produce at a similar level. For instance, I have a good idea of the guys that will be in my top RB tier. I just have no idea how to rank them within that tier. 

And granted, these guys will likely finish within a handful of points of each other if the rankings turn out to be somewhat accurate, but I'm very OCD-like when it comes to things like this and will probably make the process of ranking guys within tiers much harder than it should be. 

One guy I know will not be in my first RB tier, but will probably be hovering around my second or third RB tier, is Chris Johnson. 

Somewhere along my travels through the internet today, I read that the RB coaches in Tennessee have been tweaking Johnson's steps during running plays and routes coming out of the backfield, meaning he could wind up being in line for more catches, which would cause his fantasy value to jump.


I wouldn't read too too much into this because, at this point, it's hard to say for sure whether he's lost his burst that made him so dangerous way back when. This is something I'll definitely be keeping tabs on during the offseason because if he can regain that form and that burst, I may be inclined to move him into my top RB tier. 

He's still durable and the Titans selected an O-lineman in the first round of the draft to help bolster the running game and revamp the O-line. Signing Andy Levitre away from Buffalo also helps. And the addition of Shonn Greene to spell him in short yardage situations should keep CJ’s legs fresh to break off bigger gains and hopefully regain his RB1 status. 

And if he's going to wind up catching more passes, or at least getting more targets in the passing game, he could be a nice little gamble in the second round. You just have to prepare yourself for those games where Shonn Greene vultures three TDs and makes you feel like jumping off of a platform that's a tiny bit too high to be considered safe. 

Since the Michael Crabtree injury, I've come to grips with the fact that I won't be able to target Vernon Davis as an under-the-radar type player anymore. It's still too early in the process to tell whether AJ Jenkins could be a worthwhile late round flier or if people will try to reach and draft him earlier than a player with zero career receptions should be drafted.

We can compare him to other players all we want, the fact is we have no idea how he's going to perform on the field yet because we have nothing to go by. Offseason reports have been painting him in a positive light, but you have to take everything you read in the offseason with a grain (or several) of cliche-flavored salt. 

If you want to take a flier on him in the 14th to 16th round, go right ahead. Anything earlier than that is a reach at this point. At least until we see how things shake out on the San Fran depth chart. 

The last guy I want to talk about is Percy Harvin.

Rotoviz did a nice piece today on Harvin, talking about how his upside may be limited due to his roughly 7.5 yards per target for his career and the fact that he's going to a team with a quarterback who, while very efficient, threw less than 400 passes last season. Implied within is that Harvin likely won't reach as many targets as he would need to record a 1,000 yard receiving season. Add in a superb defense (on paper, of course) and the fact that Marshawn Lynch and Russel Wilson will run in a good amount of scores and the article paints a rather bleak picture for Harvin.

I personally think Seattle will throw the ball at least a little bit more than they did last season and Harvin was brought in to be a difference maker in the passing game. He's playing with a more efficient quarterback in Russel Wilson, who has never had a weapon like Harvin to utilize. The upside is enough for me to likely keep Harvin in my preseason top 10 as it relates to wide receivers, but I would also hedge expectations a tad at least until we get a glimpse of how well they mesh once the preseason rolls around.

That'll do for today. Now it's time for playoff hockey and Masterchef.

#KThanksBye

-Ray Ray Marz-



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