Tuesday, June 4, 2013

The unofficial first ever Fantasy Wrestling article



{Current Mood: Stuffy}

So,

While we were tailgating in the parking lot of Metlife Stadium for Wrestlemania 29 just two short months ago, The Joan and I were approached by a man who was plugging his new creation: fantasy wrestling.

If you’ve read any of The Joan’s recent pieces, you probably know that we had been discussing trying to form our own fantasy wrestling league, drafting players to a weekly or nightly team, coming up with a scoring system, calculating the points by hand, etc.

Our new friends over at RealFantasyWrestling.com have beaten us to it.

If you’re a wrestling fan and/or a degenerate gambler, you have to check out the site and get on the ground floor of the first fantasy wrestling experience of any kind on the interwebs.

It’s easy to sign up and start playing for money right away. Hell I put $30 into my account, entered a few freerolls and $1-$3 entry games and, after last night’s edition of Monday Night Raw, I’m up $10.77 and have climbed to the #1 spot on the overall leaderboards with a total score of 1,862.

This can only mean one thing.

At least for a few days, I AM THE #1 RANKED FANTASY WRESTLING PLAYER IN THE WORLD!!!

The Joan is not too far behind me at #2 overall IN THE WORLD with a total score of 1,126. The discrepancy could be due to the fact that I entered more freerolls than she did and wound up putting up the best performance of my young fantasy wrestling career.

Full Disclosure: Before the leader board reset and became official, I was sitting at around #15 overall. Not bad but not great. It would be silly of me to not acknowledge the fact that there have been a lot of people who have been doing good and finishing in the top three more consistently than I've been. I just feel the need to brag since I don’t know how long my reign on top will last.

For those not in the know: Over the last month and a half, The RFW guys have been putting The Joan and I, as well as some of our friends over at The Ken Reedy Show, into nightly (Raw) and weekly (Raw and Smackdown) freeroll challenges as a test run for the site. The ten of us who were chosen to test the RFW waters were given a $100,000 salary cap to choose a roster of ten people that we felt would give us the most points: five wrestlers, two females, one non-wrestler, and two flex players.

(Cheap Plug Alert: Go to TheKenReedyShow.com and listen to the best in pro wrestling talk on blogtalkradio.com every Sunday and Tuesday night. The Joan’s wrestling blogs are featured on their website and I’ll call into the show every once in a while to keep my legions of fans posted as to how I’m doing in the crazy world of professional wrestling)

Over time, I’ve started to pick up on certain trends and am getting a better idea of who to play and when as well as where value lies with certain wrestlers and wrestling personalities. But I would always finish just out of first place.

Here is how I’ve finished, out of ten people, in every RFW contest I’ve taken part in prior to June 3rd:

April 22 (RAW): 3rd (175.3 points, eight points out of first)
April 22 (Weekly): 2nd (222.55 points, 32.9 points out of first)
April 29 (RAW): 5th (178.1 points, 30.4 points out of first, 10.5 points out of top three)   
April 29 (Weekly): 2nd (250.6 points, 19.85 points out of first)  
May 6 (RAW): 5th (109.7 points, 21.95 points out of first, 14.45 points out of top three)
May 6 (Weekly): 7th (158.7 points, 78.6 points out of first, 58.35 points out of top three) 
May 13 (RAW): 5th (138.25 points, 10.6 points out of first, 6.05 points out of top three)
May 13 (Weekly): 5th (211.95 points, 25.85 points out of first, 17.45 points out of top three)
May 19 (PPV): 2nd (183.35 points, 12.85 points out of first)  
May 20 (RAW): 4th (150 points, 53.75 points out of first, 26.35 points out of top three)
May 20 (Weekly): 3rd (241.55 points, 40.05 points out of first)
May 27 (RAW): 3rd (176.25 points, 35.65 points out of first)   
May 27 (Weekly): 4th (238.3 points, 34.7 points out of first, 12.2 points out of top three) 

(For the record, I list how far I was outside of a top three performance because the top three finishers are usually the ones who finish in the money)

Let’s now take a look at how I finished last night’s Raw freerolls and paid contests. As a side note, I used the same lineup for all of these games and scored 233.85 points:

Ken Reedy Show Freeroll: 1st (The Joan, bless her soul, finished in 2nd and only 3.65 points behind me)
*18-Person Freeroll: 1st (The Joan didn’t fare so well in this one, finishing in 9th with 181.25 points)
$1 for $8.50, 10 people: 1st (Winnings: $5.02)
**$5 for $12.75, 3 people: 1st (Winnings: $12.75)         

*This was supposed to be a 20-person freeroll but only 18 spots were filled. I guess they let it run anyway since it was a freeroll.
**Squeaked out a win by 2.85 points in this winner-take-all battle

It only took seven weeks but I FINALLY recorded a first place finish. Not that I hadn’t come close being that I recorded five of a possible 13 top three finishes prior to last night. Only three of the “original 10,” as I like to call us, recorded more top three finishes in that time (including The Joan who had six, which included two first place finishes)  And of the “original 10,” I was the eighth person to record a first place finish in either a nightly or weekly game.

So where did the breakthrough come from? Luck? I’d like to think it was a combination of that, number crunching, and a general feel for how not only professional wrestling works, but for how RFW’s scoring system works and who it tends to favor.

Let’s find out who helped me break through the glass ceiling, how I approach these nightly matches and why I placed my faith in who I did.

[A quick side note, PPVs are a different beast when it comes to fantasy wrestling. They’re the only shows where you know exactly who is wrestling who and in what kind of match. The key there is making sure you select the people who are going to get you the most points in their matches. It doesn’t always matter who wins and loses. But that’s another strategy story for another time, as is the story of how I approach setting my weekly lineups]

Ray’s Raw Lineup for 6/3/13

Wrestler 1 (first tiebreaker): Seth Rollins – 20.45 points
Wrestler 2 (second tiebreaker): Roman Reigns – 22.4 points
Wrestler 3 (third tiebreaker): Daniel Bryan – 53.65 points
Wrestler 4: Dean Ambrose – 33.25 points
Wrestler 5: Randy Orton – 25.9 points
Female 1: AJ Lee – 8.2 points
Female 2: Kaitlyn – 12.1 points
Non-Wrestler: Michael Cole – 16 points
Flex 1 – Paul Heyman – 11 points
Flex 2 – Curtis Axel – 30.9 points

Total = 233.85 points

Before I go any further, I would like to note that a glitch in the RFW servers saw Randy Orton available at a site-low price of $1300. Usually he goes for at least $10000 more so you can see how this freed up the cap space for me to be able to afford Michael Cole who is traditionally the most expensive player being a color commentator who consistently scores between the teens and high 20’s. As a degenerate gambler I, of course, used this to my advantage. Although I had a backup plan ready in case Orton’s price shot back up.

Anyways, Daniel Bryan recorded the highest RFW point total on record last night (at least the highest I’ve found in my minimal amount of research) by virtue of him wrestling twice. It helps that both of his matches were long too. He’s a guy who will get you a ton of points for strikes, combo strikes, top rope moves, and even double team moves if he finds himself in a tag match. Plus, he’s universally recognized as a fantastic wrestler who has been all over the world and will always be involved in a quality match. Had I known he would wrestle twice, he would easily have been my #1 tiebreaker (although he is my #1 tiebreaker for my weekly matchups). He’s now scored 30-plus points in five straight outings (Raw and Smackdown) and I’m personally going to continue to target him for my lineups at least for the duration of this whole “weak link” deal he’s got going on right now.

One thing I look for when setting my lineups is the guys who are consistently wrestling and are consistently in important matches. Right now, all three members of The Shield qualify.

Last week, Seth Rollins led all scorers (in games I was involved in anyway) with a ridiculous 46.1 points. Both he and Roman Reigns received 14 points each for double team moves and five points each for being involved in a title match. Looking back, I probably wouldn’t have made Rollins and Reigns my top two tiebreakers because, in a six-man tag match, the points you’d get for double team moves between Shield members are inevitably spread out more. Last night, Rollins only received four points for double team moves while Ambrose and Reigns each received six.

Having said this, I will still target Rollins and Reigns and make them tiebreakers if I KNOW they’re in a two on two tag team match whether or not it’s for the tag team titles, although the five extra points you’d get for it being a title match would help. I still plan on consistently targeting Ambrose too. These guys are consistently wrestling in important matches against the best in the business, they all hold titles, and there’s way too much potential for a point outburst and/or a six man tag team match to NOT be targeting any or all three of these guys for your lineups.

I’d be remiss not to mention the fact that Ambrose was the highest scoring Shield member last night and, in one night, almost matched his entire point total from last week. This after being the lowest scoring member on both Raw and Smackdown last week. You know you’re going to consistently get points with these guys as long as they’re dominating the way that they’ve been. Some people like to gamble on who they think the most points will come from. I just hedge my bets, use all three guys, & plan on continuing to do so until the strategy proves to be counterproductive.

Speaking of guys who have been wrestling consistently and in important matches: all aboard the Curtis Axel bandwagon. Two main event matches on Raw against John Cena and a potential feud with HHH looming? Sign me up.

Now I’ve been playing fantasy sports for long enough to know that it’s not all about number crunching and feel for the product, you have to have some luck as well. I was helped out a lot last night by a few things: 1) Orton’s price glitch, 2) Five of my wrestlers being in a six-man tag match that got bonus points for opening the show, 3) Axel getting extra points for being in the main event again.

Things like that are all luck-based. There’s no accurate way to predict who will open/close a show or who will get you the most points in a given match. So I just go with who I feel will be utilized the most consistently in matches that can get my team the most amount of possible points.

Randy Orton is another guy who fits this description. Orton, Sheamus, Alberto Del Rio, and Kane seem to get anywhere from 15 to 30-plus points every time they wrestle. They’re always good bets to wrestle against somebody and Kane will continue to get big points as long as he’s associated with Daniel Bryan and/or facing off against The Shield.

I would take Bryan over Kane because of Bryan’s penchant for striking but that’s just me. I chose Orton mainly because of the price glitch but also because, since the Extreme Rules PPV, he hasn’t put up less than 25 points. Even with guys like Sheamus, Del Rio, and Kane likely to put up big numbers on any given night, I personally plan on riding out Orton’s hot streak.

My other contributions came from Paul Heyman, Michael Cole, AJ Lee, & Kaitlyn, Heyman should continue to get double digit points on the cheap thanks to the rise of Curtis Axel and the impending return of CM Punk. Cole usually scores higher than the other commentators though he’s the most expensive overall player to choose from. I have noticed, however, that Cole’s point total has been dropping from the high 20’s to the high teens. I’ll continue to monitor this to see if it’s just an outlier or not.

AJ has two wrestlers she manages and gets three points every time she accompanies Big E  Langston or Dolph Ziggler to the ring. Not to mention she has a future Divas title match which may happen at any given moment. I’m banking on Kaitlyn picking up a few big wins before this title match with AJ eventually takes place.

One thing you’ll find with fantasy wrestling is that a lot of bigger name guys and/or great wrestlers won’t always get you consistent point totals. Guys like John Cena, Ryback, Chris Jericho, HHH, & The Miz can’t always be banked on to give you matches, especially if they’re involved in a big storyline. But when they do, they have the potential to put up great numbers. I’ll usually only target these guys if it’s already been announced that they’ll be in a match that night.

There are a lot of other great wrestlers like Wade Barrett, Cody Rhodes, and Antonio Cesaro that can get you decent point totals but can also burn you if they’re involved in a short match or if they don’t wind up wrestling or even making an appearance. I love the in-ring work of all these guys, but they’ve gotten me more goose eggs than I care to go back and count. Also, consider that Rhodes went from being in a tag team match and scoring 28.1 points last week to putting up a paltry 5.4 points last night in a loss to Sheamus. Until these guys start to show any signs of consistency, I can’t trust them.

Looking a bit into the not-so-distant-future: If you want to start winning at fantasy wrestling, you’re going to have to account for the impending returns of Dolph Ziggler and CM Punk and you’re going to have to figure out how to work them into your lineups. Early on, Ziggler was always good for at least 30 points a night (rough guess, but once I do a bit more research I’ll be able to hopefully back that up) and I have no reason to believe Punk won’t put up the same types of numbers once he comes back.

It’s all going to be a question of who you feel most comfortable with and who you can fit under the salary cap. And, unless you’re the one deciding who’s going to be wrestling who on any given night, you may have to get lucky in deciding who’s going to be involved in the matches that are going to get you the most points.

Once the weekly games conclude, I’ll delve into how I did and what I would’ve changed.

Provided I don’t run the table again.

#KThanksBye

-Ray Ray Marz-

PS: For the interested parties, here’s a list of all the fantasy relevant wrestlers, personalities, etc. who put up points last night (in no particular order). This is based off of the games I entered being that there is currently no database where you can see how many points everyone scored on a given night. I guess this is that unofficial database for the moment. If you want to know how everyone gets scored, visit the website for those details. Enjoy:

Dean Ambrose – 33.25
Seth Rollins – 20.45  
Roman Reigns – 22.4
Curtis Axel – 30.9
Daniel Bryan – 53.65
Randy Orton – 25.9
Michael Cole – 16
Paul Heyman – 11
AJ Lee – 8.2
Kaitlyn – 12.1  
Fandango - 7.45
Dolph Ziggler – 0
John Cena – 23.8
Natalya – 4
Ricardo Rodriguez – 7
Ryback – 26.05
Sheamus – 26.3
Raw Referee – 13
Damien Sandow – 9
HHH – 6
Chris Jericho – 3
Brie Bella – 5.5
Justin Roberts – 7
Big E Langston– 10.3
Kane – 22.6
Naomi – 11.8
Cody Rhodes – 5.4
Nikki Bella – 6.8
The Miz – 17.35
Mark Henry – 0
Jerry Lawler – 18
Brodus Clay – 1
Tensai – 1
Alberto Del Rio – 15.4
JBL – 11
Cameron – 8
Wade Barrett – 10.25
Titus O’Neil – 8.3
Jack Swagger – 0
Zack Ryder – 1
Summer Rae – 6
Vickie Guerrero– 0
Lilian Garcia – 0
Zeb Coulter – 1
Antonio Cesaro – 0
Layla – 0
Teddy Long – 0

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